The land has no value for the following reasons:
1) It's in Jacksonville
2) It's in downtown Jacksonville
3) The city doesn't appear to have worked through all the hurdles it needs to divest the land
4) People in the know are still talking about serious contamination
5) It's in Jacksonville
I think the city holds on, looks for a partner (maybe it's Khan, maybe it's another public entity or the port), and does what it needs to reposition the land for public use and for recapturing some of those expenses through sale to private entities or ground leases, etc (I don't think the land should be in complete control of private hands).
Value is this (3 latest land deals in DT SF):
Hines/BP paying $192M for 50,000 SF ($167M an acre or $3,840/sf)
TMG/Northwood paying $122M for 49,946 SF ($106M an acre or $2,443/sf)
Jay Paul paying $75M for 15,312 SF site ($214M an acre or $4,898/sf)
Miami Herald sold the land under its building for $236M (14 acres, $16.9M an acre or $387/sf)
In a
very similar deal for a
very similar piece of land in Oakland:
Ten years after going into escrow, the developers behind Brooklyn Basin, a 64-acre waterfront development in Oakland, closed on a deal Monday to buy the land for $18 million from the State Lands Commission and the Port of Oakland.
The developers agreed to the price in 2003 when the deal was first negotiated. At the time, the land was valued at $34 million with about $16 million needed for clean up and remediation.
http://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/blog/real-estate/2013/06/brooklyn-basin-site-sells-for-18.htmlThe developers have since secured $1.5B in financing from a Chinese investment entity for development of the site. I have already put up renderings, but given that this site is different from the Shipyards in that Oakland's real waterfront is Lake Merritt, which is public all the way around, and this site is merely a condo/public land deal in a formerly industrial and distressed area of Oakland, I don't think it's totally apples to apples. The Shipyards is one of the only potentially public waterfront land sites in all of NE FL and is downtown. It can't be a straight condo deal (nor would it - we're talking Jacksonville here).
http://www.brooklynbasin.com/http://www.socketsite.com/archives/2013/04/oaklands_66acre_brooklyn_basin_development_finally_fund.html