Author Topic: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed  (Read 154076 times)

thelakelander

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #495 on: April 17, 2015, 11:10:52 AM »
If you what more interest, there are other proven methods of generating that interest that provides you with options to not wait for the sugar daddy (TriLegacy, LandMar, Khan) to figure out what to do with all +40 acres. However, putting the wheels in motion begins with the public sector. That process has never taken place, so it's not hard to understand the overall lack of interest.

I agree completely. Maybe I heard what I wanted to hear from him, but I interpreted Khan's initial comments as a way to get those wheels in motion, to generate interest that might push the city to move. The problem was - as usual - nothing happened.

As it stands now, the entire property needs to be cleaned up. I don't see the city making that kind of investment without knowing what will happen to the property. That seems like it would rule out carving it up and developing it piece by piece.

That leaves the property to be developed by someone needed to take the lead on the whole thing. It's not ideal, but it feels like all we have available to us. If it can happen - and so far Khan seems to be a mad of his word - I don't want to squander that opportunity.

When I look at the Khan proposal, he's basically doing what the city should have over the last decade. He's not spending his cash developing the property. He's parceling it out and marketing it for others to come in and invest in projects of their own.  For example, if he wants a shopping center, he's not developing it. An entity like Sleiman would. If it works, he makes money and increases the value of this existing investment in Jax. If it doesn't, then the city has assumed all the risks anyway. Thus, don't get too upset if the "placeholder" renderings of things like that hotel and filled in areas of the river.....never materialize.

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Most likely, when reality hits, half of the stuff shown on those renderings will be "value engineered" out of existence. Master plans rarely turn out how originally sold during the conceptual promotional stage.

I worry you're right, but I really really hope you end up being proven wrong. :)

I've done the master site planning for several large developments over the last decade. Most, never turned out as originally conceived. If I'm wrong on this one, I'll be the first to buy you a beer from a restaurant inside the shopping center under that practice football field. ;)

TimmyB

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #496 on: April 17, 2015, 11:24:25 AM »
That looks like the perfect project^

^ The randomness of including volleyball courts is what really cracks me up.

I've been heavily involved in the sport of volleyball for most of my adult life, and this saddens me greatly!   :-[ :-[ :-[

I'm unclear which part saddens you greatly: the volleyball courts being included, KenFSU's comment, or the fact that you have been "heavily involved in the sport of volleyball for most of my adult life."

Funny!  That made me actually laugh out loud at work!  To be clear, the fact that they were included.  I have nothing to be saddened about being involved in the sport; it has taken me many places and brought me much happiness!

CityLife

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #497 on: April 17, 2015, 11:41:16 AM »
Let me ask a hypothetical question for those disagreeing with Field...if you were trying to get The Shipyards in the hands of private developers and were at a conference with the largest developers in Florida and the Southeast, would you aggressively market the property to them?

Definitely. I'd also like to know why it wasn't done before, or if it was, why nothing happened. Anyone know?

Good questions. Would this board agree that being at a conference with the largest developers in Florida and the Southeast last August, and not actively marketing the project, means we really have to way to know what the interest would have been?
« Last Edit: April 17, 2015, 11:57:55 AM by CityLife »

fieldafm

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #498 on: April 17, 2015, 12:17:47 PM »
If you what more interest, there are other proven methods of generating that interest that provides you with options to not wait for the sugar daddy (TriLegacy, LandMar, Khan) to figure out what to do with all +40 acres. However, putting the wheels in motion begins with the public sector. That process has never taken place, so it's not hard to understand the overall lack of interest.

I agree completely. Maybe I heard what I wanted to hear from him, but I interpreted Khan's initial comments as a way to get those wheels in motion, to generate interest that might push the city to move. The problem was - as usual - nothing happened.

As it stands now, the entire property needs to be cleaned up. I don't see the city making that kind of investment without knowing what will happen to the property. That seems like it would rule out carving it up and developing it piece by piece.

That leaves the property to be developed by someone needed to take the lead on the whole thing. It's not ideal, but it feels like all we have available to us. If it can happen - and so far Khan seems to be a mad of his word - I don't want to squander that opportunity.

When I look at the Khan proposal, he's basically doing what the city should have over the last decade. He's not spending his cash developing the property. He's parceling it out and marketing it for others to come in and invest in projects of their own.  For example, if he wants a shopping center, he's not developing it. An entity like Sleiman would. If it works, he makes money and increases the value of this existing investment in Jax. If it doesn't, then the city has assumed all the risks anyway. Thus, don't get too upset if the "placeholder" renderings of things like that hotel and filled in areas of the river.....never materialize.


My thoughts exactly. I have been asked a handful of times when speaking at various civic organizations about what the city should do with the Shipyards. I would say that the city needs to come up with a master plan, pay for the public amenities and then start parceling off the site to individual developers based on the goals of your site plan. That was always met with a 'no way this site gets broken up'.

Well, looks like Khan's plan is exactly the same idea... yet, instead of the public taking most of the risk and reaping most of the proceeds... the public takes most of the risk and doesn't get enough proceeds to cover the costs (which has already happened on that site several times).

Khan's conceptual plans are nice in the abstract. The attention to public river access, linking with the Hogans Creek Greenway, ensuring a walkable environment along Bay Street, etc are all very sound principles. If those things happen, this site will be a big plus for downtown and the city at large.
The end result (both physically and fiscally) 10 years from now will look a lot different then what the overwhelming majority of people that understand the project only from the 2 minute news spot they saw on tv believe it will be.
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Btw, what's this all about?

Not saying the yacht guy's proposal is all that serious, but the comments aren't surprising given the short 30 day window and without being provided much info about the remediation required on the site nor the opportunity to do much in the way of due dilligence. Someone that has been working with City officials for at least a couple of years, would obviously have a much better understanding of the site's condition... then say some investment group from Dallas that perhaps did a quick site visit and has no access to any environmental site assessments done on the property previously.

It's no secret that Khan's attorneys have been bouncing things off COJ officials now for years. Khan may just provide a great product (I really hope he does. I love this city and want the best for it). I'm just trying to bring a more educated and nuanced view of what really goes on. Instead of making an honest effort to really establish the market on the property and get public input, COJ instead chose to tailor a process towards a favored party behind closed doors and are willing to take on financial risks that they don't really know whether or not is a good deal (and as proposed, will lose money on). Was that the best course of action? Time will tell. Over time, history doesn't produce an overall winning record on that strategy (more strikeouts then runs scored, however runs do get scored).

Sometimes, its perfectly prudent to take a step back to evaluate your parachute before jumping out of the plane.
« Last Edit: April 17, 2015, 12:21:10 PM by fieldafm »

BridgeTroll

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #499 on: April 17, 2015, 12:28:36 PM »
Here is how it all broke on our local FOX affiliate last night...  The first BREAKING NEWS!

http://www.fox30jax.com/news/news/local/new-proposal-submitted-shipyards-bringing-total-3/nktxN/

Not sure how the reporters kept from laughing out loud but this is good... Meet the man of the "THIRD PROPOSAL!"  ;D

This is Must see material... and veeeery Jacksonville...  ;D ::) ;D ::)

http://www.fox30jax.com/videos/news/third-shipyards-proposal/vDPdny/

Oh. My. God.

And it's not even April Fools Day.

Rofl... that you are the only one to comment makes me think no one else has seen the second clip... I highly recommend it...

http://www.fox30jax.com/videos/news/third-shipyards-proposal/vDPdny/

Tacachale

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #500 on: April 17, 2015, 12:33:34 PM »
Here is how it all broke on our local FOX affiliate last night...  The first BREAKING NEWS!

http://www.fox30jax.com/news/news/local/new-proposal-submitted-shipyards-bringing-total-3/nktxN/

Not sure how the reporters kept from laughing out loud but this is good... Meet the man of the "THIRD PROPOSAL!"  ;D

This is Must see material... and veeeery Jacksonville...  ;D ::) ;D ::)

http://www.fox30jax.com/videos/news/third-shipyards-proposal/vDPdny/

Oh. My. God.

And it's not even April Fools Day.

Rofl... that you are the only one to comment makes me think no one else has seen the second clip... I highly recommend it...

http://www.fox30jax.com/videos/news/third-shipyards-proposal/vDPdny/

So Shad Khan's already been defeated by a guy with the "power of healing and miracles". Relevant information.

Apache

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #501 on: April 17, 2015, 12:34:45 PM »
I think the opinions of those that are experienced in this line of work are probably pretty accurate of course.
But, this is the first go round on Khan's proposal. Don't you guys think the city will counter something to make it more attractive for the city/taxpayers.

I always just assumed Khan would propose something that looked great for his pocketbook, of course nothing wrong with that. But the city would counter saying, Ok, but we need this, this and this and its's yours.

At this point, I don't mind if we "give" to him to build his practice facility and be the master developer, but the city just needs some more upside.
Isn't that a possibility?

fieldafm

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #502 on: April 17, 2015, 12:55:41 PM »
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I always just assumed Khan would propose something that looked great for his pocketbook, of course nothing wrong with that. But the city would counter saying, Ok, but we need this, this and this and its's yours.

Ultimately, it will be up to City Council. The political reality of the situation probably means that there won't be much hand wringling of any signifigance. 

 

thelakelander

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #503 on: April 17, 2015, 12:59:33 PM »
I hope things work out for the best. I don't want to be taken as being against the idea of Khan dealing with the property. I'm just trying to provide a more realistic assessment of the process, based on my professional experience. The worst thing that could happen is for Jax to pin its downtown redevelopment dreams on the stuff in Khan's concept materializing into reality any time soon. Do that, and we're setting ourselves up for the big one-trick pony let down all over again.

downtownbrown

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #504 on: April 17, 2015, 02:02:29 PM »
I hope things work out for the best. I don't want to be taken as being against the idea of Khan dealing with the property. I'm just trying to provide a more realistic assessment of the process, based on my professional experience. The worst thing that could happen is for Jax to pin its downtown redevelopment dreams on the stuff in Khan's concept materializing into reality any time soon. Do that, and we're setting ourselves up for the big one-trick pony let down all over again.

Except that Lamping is out and about talking to groups (this second hand from someone at such a meeting) explaining that an incremental approach to development will not work, and that Khan intends to bring it all out of the ground at once, and be completed 3 to 4 years after they begin.  According to the story, other owner/developers have warned Khan that the long way will fail.  All or nothing, and the faster the better.  So either Lamping is lying, or we should dare to be a bit more optimistic.

fieldafm

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #505 on: April 17, 2015, 02:20:38 PM »
I hope things work out for the best. I don't want to be taken as being against the idea of Khan dealing with the property. I'm just trying to provide a more realistic assessment of the process, based on my professional experience. The worst thing that could happen is for Jax to pin its downtown redevelopment dreams on the stuff in Khan's concept materializing into reality any time soon. Do that, and we're setting ourselves up for the big one-trick pony let down all over again.

Except that Lamping is out and about talking to groups (this second hand from someone at such a meeting) explaining that an incremental approach to development will not work, and that Khan intends to bring it all out of the ground at once, and be completed 3 to 4 years after they begin.  According to the story, other owner/developers have warned Khan that the long way will fail.  All or nothing, and the faster the better.  So either Lamping is lying, or we should dare to be a bit more optimistic.

I've been in the room where he's said the same thing. Personally, he is an impressive guy. Furthermore, he's been great for the Jaguars and the city at large. No one is calling anyone a liar (and I for one am not rooting against the project nor Khan's involvement), however you can take a look at other projects that Lamping was involved in for examples that a 3 yr window for full build out is highly ambitious and probably not likely. The Meadowlands master plan has taken around 10 years and is still not complete. Keep in mind, that project is in a primary market that is on a completely different level than Jax. Khan doesn't even own the property yet. I think you have to take those sales pitches with a grain of salt, because they are designed to get you excited.




Keep in mind, that it's taken a little over two years just to get some sketches and an RFP issued here locally.
« Last Edit: April 17, 2015, 02:37:09 PM by fieldafm »

hiddentrack

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #506 on: April 17, 2015, 02:21:34 PM »
It feels like we're at that moment where the music's started, and we've got a few people milling around (Shipyards, Healthy Town, Barnett, Laura St Trio, Landing) but no one's out on the dance floor. Someone's gotta get out there and start dancing.

Each project, perfectly executed, won't do enough on its own. I don't care who's first to start or who's first to finish, but for there to be any momentum that benefits downtown as a whole, they all need to be out there.

So in that spirit... https://youtu.be/xy4FXhkm6Nw

Non-RedNeck Westsider

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #507 on: April 17, 2015, 02:27:19 PM »

So in that spirit...

<a href="https://www.youtube.com/v/xy4FXhkm6Nw?" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="bbc_link bbc_flash_disabled new_win">https://www.youtube.com/v/xy4FXhkm6Nw?</a>
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ProjectMaximus

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #508 on: April 17, 2015, 03:10:32 PM »
I would love to see the Ark at the top of the needle. I vote for that.

How's this, Maximus?  I tried to mix together the best of the proposals that we have seen, so far.



Thank you!! Visually it's even more magnificent than I had imagined. Now I think the entire One Spark Festival should take place in that Ark.

TimmyB

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Re: Khan's Jacksonville Shipyards Plans Revealed
« Reply #509 on: April 17, 2015, 07:36:13 PM »
I would love to see the Ark at the top of the needle. I vote for that.

How's this, Maximus?  I tried to mix together the best of the proposals that we have seen, so far.


Thank you!! Visually it's even more magnificent than I had imagined. Now I think the entire One Spark Festival should take place in that Ark.

Would they re-title it, "One spARK"?